Monday, October 29, 2007

energy and electricity


If the USA produced the same percentage of its electricity with nuclear energy as does France, the environmental savings in green house gases would be greater than 2.5 billion tons of carbon dioxide annually. This amount of carbon dioxide savings represents a further 15% reduction in green house gases than the Kyoto agreement savings. The time it takes Japan to go from regulatory approval to a functioning nuclear power plant is 5 years. Conservation, solar, wind power would provide 15% reduction in the present green house gases emisions, roughly equivalant to 250 million tons of carbon dioxide. The aforementioned are sound bitess from Newt Gingrich in a new book.

Yes but.... storage of plutonium, safety of nuclear power plants, use public transportation, ride a bicycle, etc, etc, etc. Yuca Mountain storage, 2 miles below the surface, in mobile, constantly exchanging casks is currently feasable. Demographics and an aging population are against bicycle riding. Look around you; how many 65 to 75 year olds are riding bicycles now. How many "aged" bike riding people would it take to reduce green house gases by 10 million tons; roughly 50 million of the 65 million new aged expected in 10 years. Public transportions in every part of the world is not self-supporting and is subsidized by tax dollars. How many "kneeling buses" would a municipality have to add to accomodate people with canes, walkers, wheelchair, and others who have difficulty climbing the stairs up into the bus. Who would help the people coming home from the grocery store with their load of groceries for one week. Or, would we, ie, society in general, expect that people would go to the grocery store every day as happens in the major part of the would: more municiple kneeling buses. In the present world, what happens when the sun does not shine: East Lansing would go without electricity for 7 months a year? Rochester New York, Seattle Washington, Peoria Illinois, Portland Oregon, etc are notorious for sustained cloudy days. What about wind energy? What happens when the wind does not blow. What is the track record of the wind farms along the California portion of Interstate 80: ideal sites for wind blowing, right? Wrong. Unintended consequences. How many migratory birds are chopped down by the whirling blades? How long are the winds sustained? Do the winds blow at night? Is there a transition in wind speeds between sunrise and again at sunset? You bet'cha there is. The wind stops! Maybe we should collect all the carbon dioxide from coal fired power plants and bury it in the ground. The technology is just around the corner, eh? Of course we are talking about influencing the 2% of green house gases attributable to human activity and not the 98% attributable to "natural" sources. Why have the oceans decreased by 5% their absorption of Carbon Dioxide? Does anyone know? Of course not. Why is the planet Mars Southern polar ice sheet melting at the SAME rate as our polar ice sheets melting on Earth? Has this anything to do with our Sun? Possibly, no one knows.

At what point, what will it take, which environmentalist will have to eat crow? Maybe it requires that the people who brought an end to nuclear power proliferation in the USA 30 years ago will have to retire (90% of whom will have osteoarthritis), endure their arthritic knees and hips, slow way down with their coronary artery disease, walk a lot less with their diabetes peripheral vascular disease and leg amputations. Who will shut off the hospital intensive care respirators, monitors, renal dialysis machines, when the sun does not shine or the wind does not blow?

There are more than 5 billion people in the world now, soon there will be 6 billion. Does anyone who has even the slightest knowledge of agriculture beleive that these billions of people can be fed with the present level of technology, crop and soil science, genetically enginered crops, energy dependent fertilizers? You are whoefully uninformed if you believe that, at least for the next 100 years, adequate for human survival, electrical energy can be harvested from the sun, wind, and getting back to nature with a 'healthy' life style.

I believe the present environmental generation, self focused and consumed by their youth, who are not using canes and walkers yet, will live to see a scarcity of electricity impacting negatively on the lives of billions of people. The repercussions of low electricity availablity will result in a class war some place on earth over energy, just as it is in the Middle East now for oil, there will be fighting for electricity between the haves and have nots. Those people who can generate electricity with a small carbon footprint, as coal, gas, oil will be increasingly costly and unavailable for most of the world's population, those producing people, and I am not saying countries, will come under relentless attack by the have nots. The present class war is believed to be related to religion; yet, looking at who is doing the fighting, commiting suicide, etc, it is the have nots; against France, Germany, England, island Sweden, groups within India, Pakistan, Southeast Asia, China, Indonesia, Australia, and of course, the greatest Satin USA. Religion is the seragot reason for the fight against the wealthy, and wealth in this century will revolve around the ability to produce energy.

The licensing, construction, and pricing of nuclear energy is likely to play the largest role in providing electricity to our world; at least until hydrogen based fuels become technologically feasable, most likely not until the 22nd century. The proliferation of nuclear energy is the most available option for this early part of our 21st century.

Saturday, October 27, 2007

The muddle over who's on first


Baseball season is winding down with game three of the World Series this evening at Mile High Denver Colorado. The "Boys of Summer" are bringing to a close a season begun in April during a snow storm in Cleveland Ohio, and likely to end on Holloween in a 32 degree temperature finale. So much for "summer", so much for "boys." High salaries of the individual players, dictate the extended season ticket sales. Bidding for great players results in team payroll levels of $200 million for the New York Yankees, and $145 million for the Boston Red Socks (NY is first, Boston 2nd). Denver is 26th in payroll and the Cleveland Indians were 23rd. Cleveland and Boston had identical records, and Cleveland took Boston to 7 games; I doubt Denver can match. We will see what we will see.

Sports are no different than other areas of human endeavors. Money will be thrown at research, industrial capital, high tech, innovation, almost anything to produce a "winner." As evidence by the Hollywood shenanegans of the likes of Britney Spears, Paris Hilton, and a host of other names, throwing money at visible media folks is done to make a "winner" as well. The effort seems to me, is an attempt to make a silk purse out of a sow's ear. Where is the " Little engine than could"? Where is the ethic that patients, determination, persistance, perserverence are the mantra we should expouse. History tells us that "flash in the pan" does not lead to sustained riches for human kind as a whole. Even Noble Prizes, except the politically motivated "Peace" prize, are awarded way after the individual has long since contributed important work, sometimes, awarded postumously. The Noble Committee has to wait and see if the idea/invention/discovery has panned out, made a worthwhile contribution. I was struck by the appearance and videos of one of the winners of the Noble Prize in Economics. The man was in a nursing home. In the back ground were other aged people in wheelchairs and walkers. I am saddened by the down fall of James Watson, co-discoverer of DNA, also a Noble Prize winner, after his remarks about race, DNA, and intelligence led to his dismissal from a research institute, and the rebuke heaped upon him by his "collegues." At what point do we wish to listen and consider issues, rather than find the next winning horse to ride. These are the issues of "politically correct." Here at Michigan State University, a man from the UK by the name of Griffin was invited to speak by a University sanctioned club; his message was his accusation of the evilness of Islam. Needless to say, people showed up to bang on plastic chairs, hurl insults and chanting to overcome the speaker's voice. Only the protesters, none of the club memebers nor the speaker were interviewed: protesters saying "I believe in free speach BUT ...' Basically, it appears that the protesters were saying, "I believe in my free speach, and I am unwilling to listen to somebody that does not agree with me." Now, one of the Board of Trustees, was publically wishing the club that invited the speaker to be kicked off campus and calling for a special Board meeting to discuss such an action.

I am becoming a radical, a Libertarian of all things. The speaker would likely have spoken to a small audience of like minded individuals. It is the actions of those like-minded individuals that should be addressed. Does someone defile or intiimidate a person of the Muslim faith? And likewise, does a person of the Musliim faith act upon calls to destroy the "Crusaders"; usurp Western Civilization and impose Shari Law? Vigilance of democracy requires both listening to others and speaking up for yourself. Recently, I have seen little listening, a whole lot of talking, and what D'Toqueville, who was touring the USA in 1848, describe as the" tyranny of the majority." I think "politcally correct" fits that notion perfectly. Our Constitution was designed with the individual, the minortiy, in mind. How is it possible that I am constitutionally moving towards Clarence Thomas!