Monday, January 14, 2008

phone calls


I've had a lot of phone calls today from my good friends, at least that is what they say I am, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Ron Paul. They all wanted to let me know what good guys they are and how they wanted to protect my Constitutional freedoms like keeping a hand gun (NRA). They wanted me to know that they believe in family values and the right to life. Many had endorsements from the Right -to-Life organizations. They wanted me to know that they were concerned about how the government is keeping too much of my hard earned tax dollars and they are against raising taxes and wanted to make President Bush's tax cuts permanent . They all seemed genuinely concerned about the economy and in particular, here in Michigan, what with all of our Michigan manufacturing jobs going off shore. Some were going to bring those overseas jobs back here to Michigan.
Another thing I didn't know was what scoundrals some of these guys were. Why I didn't know that Romney had flip-flopped on the abortion issue, or was fiscally irresponsible while he was governor of Massachussetts. I didn't know that McCain voted for NAFTA or some such thing as that. I didn't know a lot of things that these guys had done or not done. But they told me anyway, even when I was still saying "hello? hello?" 
Yes, I got a lot of phone calls today, informing me how to vote tomorrow. I want to thank each and every one of them for taking the time to come into my home via telephone, and showing me how much they cared for me, as an individual, at least that is what they said to me.
Well, I guess I will go out and vote tomorrow, for all of them, since they seem like such fine people and have my welfare in mind. Only, I'm a little confused...

Friday, January 11, 2008

Perspective on the Election in November: from January


Manipulation of elections is neither new nor without peril. To get the GOP to dissipate their considerable resources on multiple candidates in the primaries Democrats have been encouraged to cross over and vote for Romney in the Michigan Republican Primary. Not voting for Hillary, as she is one of the few still on the ballot, Obama and Edwards dropped off the ballot, may diminish her momentum going into South Carolina, Nevada and then on Feb 5th, Florida, Texas, California and New York. Nevertheless, crossing over is a strategy worth considering.
The issues that are relevant to American voters in November 2008 may not be the issues relevant in November 2007: getting out of Iraq was the number one issue; maybe immigration was a distant second. January 2008, especially since the New Hampshire primaries, changed those priorities to the economy as numo uno. What I have observed over the last 30 years, that the economy trumps all other issues, sweeping incumbants out.
A historical look at well meaning and well spoken candidates, populism and oratorial splendor do not make for effective presidents. One only has to look at populist Jimmy Carter saddled with StagFlation being trounced by Ronald Reagan after one term in office. Jack Kennedy, Harvard educated, elected during a recession,  eloquently lead us into Vietnam. Experience matters in getting things done on a Federal level.
Exit poles from New Hampshirites showed that the economy is the major issue. Exiting Iraq, immigration, health care reform, the war on Terrorism, foreign policy directions, tax breaks for the rich (the estate tax, capital gains tax, taxes on stock dividends), are secondary battlegrounds and may or may not play a role after the November 2008 presidential elections except as these issues are used as a club to batter individual candidates during the run-up to November.
Republicans want to see Obama as the Democratic nomanie as he is very weak on the economy and foreign affairs and is beatable if matched up with McCain or Guliani.
Its the economy. Ronald Reagan's landslide victory over Jimmy Carter (carrying Jim Dunn to one term in Congress) was precisely because of the economy: StagFlation, stagnant economic growth with escalating inflation. The interest rate on our Gilcrest home mortgage was 9.2% was typical. Unemployment nationally was 7+%, in Michigan > 8%, and in Detroit 15%. Union members voted overwhelmingly for Reagan. 12 years later, Bill Clinton won over a sitting, victorious in war president (never happened before) because of "R"ecession; hence: "Its the economy, stupid" slogan of that time.  
The "R" word is now circulating in financial circles. Consumer Confidence, as measured by the U of Mich Index has plumeted. Unemployment nationally has crept above 5%. Republican leadership know that a Hillary victory would lead to a "Tax and Spend" Congress, just as Bill did; that the Evangelical Christians would stay away from the voting poles if there were ProChoice candidates, exacerbating the Congressional clout of the Democrats.
One of the reasons the Federal Reserve is talking about a steep interest rate cut is to forstall a recession. Avoiding a recession is paramount to getting a Republican elected. Nevermind that lower interest rates will ignite inflation (as most of the Regional Govenors have said.) Brinkmanship economics.
I believe that the Iraq War will not be on the voting American's mind by November. General Petreaus will have reduced the US Military presence in Iraq by June 2008; declared a victory which should last at least until November; and McCain will come out smelling like a rose having supported the "surge."  "I make the right decisions even when they were unpopular at the time." "I have experience in world affairs........."  Obama has no arguement to counter that position. He has not demonstrated, that is, done anything in foreign affairs except talk. Until very recently, he has not talked about nor has he enacted legislation regarding the economy.  As I said, Obama is vulnerable on the economy and foreign affairs.
The Federal Reserve is about to ignite inflation, risking the economy to get a Republican president elected. No president, Democrat or Republican, will be spared the economic ravages after November. The only hope is that with a change in leadership, a recession occuring in the early part of a president's term of office, there will be a flurry of legislation (read the first 100 days ala FDR in 1933), and wait for the economy to rebound prior to the next presidential election.  If the economy does not become robust, and if Obama has been busy writing legislation, supporting Hillary but staking out his own territory, he might challenge her in the primaries 4 year hence. He will have to do something visible, not necessarily dramatic, just addressing current issues and appear to have a competent understanding of the economy and foreign affairs. The basketball anology is: practice and make your foul shots, be an assist leader, no turnovers, while remain a team player. Later, he will get more playing time.
If I were Hillary, I would have Obama as my Vice President, essentially shelving him for 8 years instead of having to compete with him during the next primaries.

Thursday, January 10, 2008

What has happened to medicine?


The CNN nightly news talk host Glenn Beck wrote a blog about his over the holidays experience with medical care, surgery and the lack of compassion he experienced. Subsequent bloggers wrote about the source of blame for this lack of compassion. Many related their own experiences with non-communicative doctors; being treated like a number by health staff; disregard for his feelings and lack of patience with his questions; a system focused on the "bottom line."
There were some comments about physicians who spent an hour listening to the patient but never heard what the patient was saying. Other encounters with physicians were very brief, but the physician displayed empathy, answering questions appropriately, and demonstrated that he/she cared about what was happening to the patient. There was a lawyer who said that physicians are sued mostly because they fail to demonstrate concern for their patient as opposed to having done any specific malpractice.
I am old enough, and I have had experienced medical care long enough, first via the prolonged dying of my father from metastatic melenoma through to my career and now recent retirement, that I can see milestones that produced some of these changes in the caring by health care workers. These of course are my own observations and not a scientific study.
Before the 1960's, doctors by enlarge were members of the "good olde boy's club." Sons, and a few daughters of doctors went on to medical school to become doctors. In looking at my medical school's wall of graduating class pictures from 1871 onward, in the initial class, there were 11 students of whom one was a women, one was black, and the other nine were white males. Subsequent classes also had one or two women and one black. The number of students in each class grew slightly every several years until World War II. By the early 1950's, there were @ 45 students per class. The numbers in first year classes increased to 89 by 1971. In 100 years of the medical school, the class size increase by 8 fold. The make-up of the class changed to 11 women; this last year there were more women than men. 
What has changed over the years has been the expectations of these medical students; namely, for the first 80 years, many more students were admitted in the first year than granduated. As the medical student progressed from anatomy and physiology to pathophysiology and specific organ dysfunction, grades in courses mattered most. Then in the clinical years, the last two year of medical school spent on the hospital wards and surgery suites, performance was assess on a very subjective basis and people flunked out because they were not percieved as being a very good doctor; ie, didn't fit the mold of what was perceived as being like the "good olde boys." Unlike today where students can complete their course work after 3 1/2 years, then they can leave the school, coming back to graduate in May some time, for the first 80 or so years of my medical school, medical students were required to be in school for the complete 4 years. Early students were expected to be in the hospital nearly all the time. They were given uniforms, meal tickets, and a place to sleep. The one year internship after medical school, was more of the same: 24/7. A doctor met one's wife, usually, a nurse who was going through a diploma issuing nursing school at arranged social functions of doctors and nurses within the hospital. 
The doctors coming out of medical schools were pretty similar to their fathers (and some mothers). Physicians usually were located in small towns and as solo practitioners. Their prestige was mostly derived from them being the most educated person in the town, hence, consulted in many matters of importance. Pay for physicians was modest at best, frequently paid in barter.  The banker or the lumber baron and/or equivalent were the wealthiest people in town. You can get an idea of a rural physician's life if you happen to see an old television series "Gun Smoke" and follow the character "Doc." Later gentrified TV doctors were "Dr. Welby M.D." and later still "Dr. Richard Chamberlin."
In the 1960's there were several events that changed medicine. Just prior to and during the Vietnam War the development of positive pressure ventilators and cardiopulmonary bypass apparatus allowing the insertion of technology for bedside watching a waiting that prevailed before. In 1964, Medicare,  became the funding source for the previously medically neglected aged. Doctors were now paid regularly for their care and their total incomes skyrocketed. Our nation decided that there needed to be a diversity of physicians, hence the recruitment of women and African-Americans. At the same time as there was an increase in numbers and diversity of medical students, there were fewer students who had come via a traditional college curriculum of heavy math and science and light on the humanities. Indeed, beginning in the 1960's, college graduates recruited to medical school were just the opposite, heavy on humanities and light on the basic sciences. The newer students came with the expectations of " having a life of their own." Several problems became evident: there needed to be a standardized entrance examination; hence, MCAT; the focus needed to be upon retention of the admitted student instead of examination for exclusion through expulsion; and there needed to be more uniform testing along the medical school curriculum to be sure that students didn't graduate from medical school but couldn't pass the various state liscencing examinations taken at the end of the first year internship. There was the perception that four years of medical school and the subsequent internship was a hardship and dehumanizing process, this "awareness" resulted in more medical school "doctor-patient" humanizing learning instruction; the internship with its isolation in the hospital was deemed to beat the humanistic qualities out of the person who would become the Physician and Surgeon. What was perceived by many as a need to humanize the internship year, resulted in the extending of the training process. Since a physician's sinequanon training and skill was their ability to do surgery, and during their training they had to do so many supervise proceedures to be deemed competent, and since you were now off duty and out of the hospital, so you couldn't do the requisite number of procedures in one or two years to be minimally competent unsupervised and on your own. The training periods were extended. Now of course, the family doctor no longer delivers babies, does a gall bladder removal, enters the Intensive Care Unit, goes to the ER to see patients, sets the broken leg of that potential elite middle school athlete. All that care is done by someone who is specialized, and carries a very high medical liability premium.
With most people entering medical school now not having a living, breathing, in home role model physician dad/mom, the vast majority of new physicians are clueless as to what they are getting into, believing wrongly, that one can get involved with another human being who  despirately needs them, and turn it all off at 5 pm, sign out, and head home for a meaningful experience with one's family. Soon the young doctor learns that the above scenario can't be done, then, they make being a doctor into a job, with defined responsibilities, hours, pay, time off, benefits, contracts with others, etc., etc., etc.  Its hard to fit in "your patient's interests come first" when in fact they don't. Your interests come first.
So. With the advent of a diverse pool of potential doctors, lack of role models regarding the expectations of subserviance of one's personal wants that goes along with the caregiving for another person, the increase time it takes to become minimally competent with a particular technology, it is not surprising that many physicians are dissolutioned, focused upon themselves doing a good "job" when they are on duty, minimizing disturbances in their routines and come across as lacking compassion. It is hard to get involved with someone when at 5 PM you are leaving. The answer, don't get involved in the first place, and this attitude shows, shows very clearly. 
After a number of years of turning off, one goes on to becoming "burned out." Medicine not longer is attractive and one starts to look elsewhere: golf, money, BMW, Carribbean Vacation destinations, etc.
What is missing of course, what the role models would have role modeled again and again and again, it is the patient-doctor interaction over time that is unique and nurishes the physician. Patients allow you to enter their world and space. It is about continuity, caring about how someone is doing, how they are grieving, coping, frightened, angry, loving, and for some, seeing life falling out of their hands like so many grains of sand. This window to another human being is the sustance of a physician's life. These are the rewards that give back to the physician many times more than they give to the patient/family. This is what the sacrifice is about. Without caring for someone else, it is hard to be cared for by someone else; its simply a two way street, compassion goes both ways. Those that give it, get it back.

Sunday, January 6, 2008

Worrying about the weather


Today, there is a warming trend; likely the outdoor temperature will rise to 40 F. With that rise, the snow will melt and our foot of on-the-ground snow cover will diminish significantly. Tomorrow, the temperature is to rise to the 50's. What the heat wave means is that the slush on the roads will melt and run off to the creeks and streams, the sidewalks will become more passable, fewer ice spots, and the deer will retreat back into the forest and leave our hosta and other plants alone.

But to really get away from the overcast skies, the heavy cold of moisture ladened air, one has to travel to where it is sunny and warm, and, for us, this means heading "down under." We are excited about this trip, seeing sites not seen before, traveling with Leah and actually speaking to her while she is fully awake as opposed to calling her in the middle of her night.

 Kathy is asking the appropriate questions: "what are we going to wear?" We read travel guides about the average monthly high temperature where we are going. As we travel the South Island of New Zealand, the highs in January and February are in the lower 6o's. If these are the highs, what will be the lows? A light covering to wear may not be enough.
 
As you may know, inspite of many articles on global warming and increasing CO2 levels (a "greenhouse gas") since 2001, the actual measured temperature of the earth has not changed. The continued increase in CO2 has not resulted in an increase in temperature. Could the earth's heating model of greenhouse gas accumulation be wrong? Who knows. What about the melting Artic ice, the loss of habitat for polar bears? Is that not a reflection of global warming? What has been observed as melting Artic ice in the North Pole, has been counter balanced by a decline in temperatures in Antartica. That is, there is glacieral ice accumulation in the South Pole. The measured temperatures in the Southern Hemisphere are lower than average. Check out the latest temperatures in Christchurch New Zealand.

You get my drift. If the "average high temperature readings" are too optimistic, that means when we travel to the South Island of New Zealand, across the lower South Pacific Ocean to Tasmania, will we be shivering, huddled under our blankets in our cabins? The roof to the main shipboard pool may be closed and people would be crowding the "hot tub" as at a winter ski resort. Maybe, for a portion of our trip, we will be wearing the sweaters and caps we wear here in Michigan, especially when we do onshore excursions.
 
This all brings up the issue of what does one pack for a trip like this. How many suitcases? How much money to  exchange to buy warmer clothing?

These are the momentous questions facing the two of us, besides the season long question of the how the backcourt guards and the front court "bigs" play for the MSU Spartan basketball team.

Thursday, January 3, 2008

Sleepiness, stress, and medicine


Way back when I was an intern (1971) at Strong Memorial Hospital, Rochester NY, the 6 of us were the last of the every other night Pediatric interns, 36 hours on duty, and 12 hours off duty for the whole year. To get a weekend off, we worked 48 hours on duty, then signed out, returning 48 hours later. The medical world was changing. There had been a resident's "strike" at Boston City Hospital, demanding and got, no more than 24 hours on duty at any one time. What has subsequently become law, no more than 80 hours a week on duty, came after a medical resident miscalculated a dose of digitalis for Andy Warhol, the painter, and he died in NY City. In a major press report detailing a medical liability claim, the resident blamed his mistake on his lack of sleep. There had been a study of NY City medical residents and their ability to interpret EKG's; demonstrating a degredation in accuracy with progressive increases in drowsyness. Shocking news. US Senate investiagations followed; state legislators deliberated, and we now live under the 80 hour week law. Of course, this was not new information. Airline pilots are forbidden to fly without adequate sleep, the descriptor "adequate" remained in question for a while; nonetheless, sleepiness leads to calculation errors; known to the airlines, of course, since the 1930's.
At Strong, we would take our vacations out of the nursery rotation since ALL premature babies, ie, those 5 lbs or less, died. Our nursery attending was a kindly fatalistic Catholic physician who talked to us about the cherished children going to meet God. The year, 1971; the date, July 1st, when we began our first rotations. In the lead article of the New England Journal of Medicine, June 1st 1971, Gregory, from the San Francisco Medical Center reported rescuing premature infants who had developed Respiratory Distress Syndrome (RDS) with the use of Continuous Positive Airway Pressure (CPAP) Ventilation. This new way of approaching RDS was a hitherto unremarkable footnote in the wilds of UpState New York except for Alex Stalcup who was one us 6 Pediatric interns. Alex had been a 4th year medical student doing a rotation in the newborn nursery at the SF Med Ctr. He learned how to set up CPAP Ventilation. In August 1971, Alex and I introduced CPAP technology at Strong, that is, we cobbled scrounged pieces of equipment, including a meter stick and a water manometer with which to measure airway pressure, none of which were meant for children let alone premature infants, requisitioned special tiny needles from Usher's Laboratory in Montreal Quebec, and began the task of saving premature infants. That means, we interns stayed with the infants ALL the time, as, at that time, unlike modern times, nurses in the nursery were generally kindly grandmotherly people able to feed and rock to sleep normal newborns. There were of course a few young nurses in the nursery, who were newly hired, had to do their "nursery" rotations prior to being allowed to work on the much more dynamic Pediatric Floors.  Well, once we had a means of rescuing premature infants with RDS,  there was an excitement and enthusiasm for doctors and nurses to do something that had yet to migrate to the East Coast "wellknownmedicalcenters," developing new techiques of care, writing protocols for nursing and physicians to save "premies," by trial and error finding what worked, what we thought worked and didn't, trying something out of the serendipitous blue. Sooo, the short story is, we turned a one month rotation, where the interns had previously taken their 2 week vacations, leaving the remaining intern learning what a normal newborn was and what some of the usual problems encounter in that set of infants, and turned it into a frenzied, sleepless, high energy, very high stress, innovative experience. The rest of the year was only 36 hours on and 12 hours off, a tale of chronic fatigue. I believe I hadn't paid back my sleep bank until well after my third or fourth year of being an attending physician at MSU almost 7 years later.
When one calculates the money I made as an intern that first year, I made $0.71 per hour, which, compared to the previous 5 years intern's salary, and at the Boston City Hospital where the strike occured, they were making $ 50.00 per month and they were on duty All THE TIME. Yes, that's right, 24/7 for the year, a pay rate of $ 0.07 per hour. You see, I had it great! Yes, I hear you: "Yes, but you chose that way of life...." Oh, by the way, no one was married during those previous "house officer" days.
Those days are thankfully gone. I believe the medical resident who made the miscalculation in NYC that drew attention to the issue of chronic fatigue in physicians, didn't do the right thing: ie, check his calculations/interpretations, with his senior resident, or the staff nurses who work alongside resident physcians in hospitals, before submitting his order. Airline pilots, each and every time he/she flies, goes through a check list with their co-pilot before starting the airplanes engines. Partnering is the answer for doing tasks that are critical yet repetative and mind numbing or that lead to sleeplessness and fatigue.

Wednesday, January 2, 2008

While You Were Sleeping





Marcus is into cars and trucks and things that go. Yet, the snowplow truck is the most unintelligible to him. "Why?" he asks. Well folks, have I got and answer for him! Christmas we had our blanket of white, enough for Santa to ride down from the North Pole. We know of course that Santa and the North Pole are real, as we saw in Williamston last Saturday a mail box, painted red, and written on its side were the words: "North Pole." And, as we all know from the movie "Miracle on 34th Street", if an agency of the Federal Government says that there is a Santa who lives at the North Pole, and it is a Federal Crime to mislead the United State Mail, then there is a Santa who lives at the North Pole, officially. Anyway, back to my Santa sleighing in the snow story, over New Years, Eve and Day, it snowed. In addition, it snowed last night while we were all nestled and snug in our wee little beds (Parapharsing Clemete Moore 1846). There is a foot of snow on the ground right now, officially, which makes for a winter wonder land bathed in sunshine as it is today.  
Which brings me to Marcus, and cars and trucks and things that go. Before Christmas, while visiting our California crew, Marcus was using the road grader, Bobcat front end loader, garbage dump grader, and snowplow salt truck, indiscriminately. They were all being used for the same purpose. Grandpa necessarily had to "refine" Marcus's understanding of these implements. Now I have a perfect example to show him what a snowplow is and how it is used. While on our ususal daily walk, at times breaking trail but mostly following where the sidewalk snowplow had been before us, along came the Ingham County Road Commission's snowplows, billowing snow from above, each side and behind them. So I captured the moment, several it seems. 
I obviously had taken our camera along on this day, Ms. Kathy was not too happy about this since I would be dawdling in the cold, taking pictures, until of course, a fellow walker coming the opposite direction said: " ... oh you took your camera along, good for you. I wish I had taken mine." I did have to give Kathy the keys to the condo as she eventually hurried on, and I was waiting for the snowplows to come back the opposite direction, adding 20 minutes or so to my outing. Nevertheless, my "cardio" work-out was mushing through the snow around the back of Bear Lake. 
I have lots of "snow shots" if anyone is interested, besides myself of course.